CBS/NY Times national poll: Obama’s lead still comfortable

Brand new numbers from the latest installment of the CBS News/NY Times national poll shows Obama retaining a double-digit lead over McCain with well under a week until Election Day the end to this chaotic race. Obama leads by a comfortable margin over his GOP foe, 52% to 41%.

These new results show a slight improvement for McCain from last week’s CBS/NYT numbers and a minimal bump from other recent Obama-friendly national polls. But today’s release shows no sign of an overwhelming shift to McCain in the vein of some apparently outlying data from AP and Fox News.

Parsing the results further finds that a stunning number of voters have already cast their early ballots - most for Obama…

Seventeen percent of registered voters say they have already voted, either by absentee ballot or at early voting sites, and this group favors Obama by a large margin.

…The “enthusiasm gap” plaguing McCain off-and-on has returned in full force mere days before the race ends…

An enthusiasm gap remains between the candidates: While roughly half of Obama’s supporters are excited about their candidate being elected, just 22 percent of McCain voters feel the same.

…And Obama is simply cleaning the floor with McCain over the economy. Voters have consistently rated Obama’s ability to handle economic policy as immensely better than McCain’s since the beginning of this financial crisis and probable recession.

But on the economy - the most important issue to a majority of voters in making a choice for president - Obama has a clear advantage. A majority of registered voters say Obama’s policies would make the economy better, while half as many say they would make the economy worse. By contrast, nearly as many expect McCain’s policies to make the economy worse (31 percent) as expect his policies to make the economy better (32 percent).

Low income voters, in particular, expect Obama’s policies to help the economy and McCain’s to make things worse.

We’re getting into “statistically impossible” land for McCain…

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